By John J. Pitney Jr.
John J. Pitney Jr. is professor of government at Claremont McKenna College and
author of "The Art of Political Warfare."
Los Angeles Times, Orange County edition, November 10 2002
Arnold Schwarzenegger came to Chapman University shortly before the election to
discuss his after-school initiative for MSNBC's "Hardball" talk show.
Schwarzenegger told "Hardball" host Chris Matthews that the last time
he visited Chapman --to pick up an honorary degree -- "I said when I left,
'I'll be back.' Right, well, I'm back."
He'll be back again. Though he had to cancel this month's appearance at the
Orange County Performing Arts Center, people in the area will see a good deal of
him in the years ahead. And not just in the theaters.
On election night, Schwarzenegger was a bigger winner than Gray Davis. Not only
did his ballot proposition triumph, but the GOP's poor showing left the party
longing for a champion. In four years, Republicans may turn to him as their
candidate for governor.
If they do, Orange County will be one of his major bases of support. Some local
conservatives grumble about his support for abortion rights, but he is immune to
their favorite epithet for Republican moderates. Nobody calls this man a
"squish."
Schwarzenegger has qualities that the state party has been missing. The first is
a reputation for "compassionate conservatism." He has long worked on
children's causes, such as the Special Olympics and the Inner-City Games. The
first President Bush named him to head the President's Council on Physical
Fitness and Sports, where he became a national spokesman for physical education.
This record made him a credible sponsor of the initiative. Significantly, the
proposition's Web address was www.joinarnold.com.
After-school programs are a popular idea, so the measure drew a rainbow
coalition of endorsements. Orange County supporters included Republican Rep.
Dana Rohrabacher, state Sen. Dick Ackerman, and Sheriff Michael S. Carona, a
potential candidate for lieutenant governor. It also had the backing of
Democrats such as Irvine Mayor Larry Agran.
When Chris Matthews noted that some Democrats were withholding support,
Schwarzenegger waved him off, saying, "Let's all get together and make this
pass and do something for the children." That's an appealing message for
voters who've seen enough sharp-edged ideologues.
His accent is another plus. The GOP's anti-immigration image has hurt it among
naturalized citizens, a growing force in Orange County. Who could better mend
this damage than a fellow immigrant? Like a Middle European version of Ronald
Reagan, Schwarzenegger speaks movingly about what the American dream meant to a
young man from a modest home in Austria.
Schwarzenegger brings Reaganesque excitement and Hollywood glamour to his public
appearances.
That's a change from the recent run of state Republican leaders. Can you picture
a George Deukmejian action figure? A Bill Simon video game? On second thought,
the latter is a possibility. Players would compete to make the most mistakes.
Celebrity has drawbacks. In a run for office, Schwarzenegger would have to
answer for the high body count in his movies. By the way, Santa Ana's MainPlace
mall was the filming site for the opening of "Kindergarten Cop." (With
only one killing, the MainPlace sequence was relatively tame.)
Celebrity also brings out the tabloids. When newspapers reported that
Schwarzenegger might run in 2002, Democratic strategist Garry South provided the
press with a magazine article making salacious personal charges. Some observers
say South may have deterred Schwarzenegger from running.
There's another possibility. Maybe Schwarzenegger deliberately raised the
possibility of a 2002 race to see how enemies would go after him in 2006. Now
that South has revealed the outlines of his attack plan, Schwarzenegger has four
years to figure out his responses. If you doubt that Schwarzenegger is capable
of such calculation, see "Pumping Iron," the 1977 documentary that
made him a star. (An enhanced version premieres Friday on Cinemax). Even as a
young bodybuilder, the film shows, he was already waging psychological warfare
on opponents.
The former Mr. Universe is literally the embodiment of self-discipline. This
fall, he campaigned for his initiative with the same single-mindedness he once
applied to his abs and pecs. He mastered the policy details, stuck to his
message and deftly sidestepped questions about other issues. If Bill Simon had
such discipline, he'd have the governorship -- and big biceps too.
Schwarzenegger also has a knack for making friends in high places -- very high
places. Calling Schwarzenegger a "Miracle Man," the Rev. Robert H.
Schuller let him promote the initiative in the Crystal Cathedral, the first such
event in the cathedral's history.
The actor's charm extends to the rank and file. During the "Hardball"
appearance, a Chapman student posed a probing question about the initiative's
limitations. "First of all," he responded, "I want to
congratulate you for a great question." Matthews then cracked, "And
you're not a politician, right?"
Arnold Schwarzenegger is not just the Terminator. He's the Natural.